Recent Analysis
North Carolina’s Generic Ballot
In polling, the generic ballot is a key question that asks voters which party they would support in a race without naming specific candidates - something like, "if the race for NC House was held today, would you support the Republican candidate or the Democratic...
Analysis Archive
North Carolina’s Generic Ballot
In polling, the generic ballot is a key question that asks voters which party they would support in a race without naming specific candidates - something like, "if the race for NC House was held today, would you support the Republican candidate or the Democratic...
Voter Registration Shifts in Competitive Legislative Districts
How have the state's most competitive districts changed since the 2024 elections, and which Party is benefiting from the changes? This week, we examine voter registration shifts across North Carolina’s competitive legislative districts. The data shows a consistent...
Meet New Lawmakers Coming in 2027
In many of the state’s solidly Republican or Democratic districts, the primary effectively determines the winner. The March primary saw a wave of anti-incumbent energy, and a lot of newcomers will be joining the General Assembly in 2027, either because they are now...
Fundraising in Competitive Legislative Districts
North Carolina’s House and Senate candidates are heading into the general election with war chests totaling more than $13 million in cash on hand. This week, we’re taking a closer look at where that money is and what it means for each chamber’s competitive races....
