Analysis
New Polling and District Rankings: How Do You Identify Competitive Districts?
For years, the conventional wisdom in American politics has been that “all politics is local.” But the available evidence in North Carolina over the past decade says that’s not the case. As politics have become increasingly polarized and nationalized, we’ve seen a...
5 Things to Watch Tonight
First, please accept my apologies for not sending more regular communication during the early voting period. I caught a fun case of COVID about 2 weeks ago that waylaid me. Thanks to Mr. Martin for keeping the trains (and mail) running while I was out. ...
Unaffiliated Voters Overtake Democrats as Largest Voting Block
We saw it coming for years, and last month it finally happened: Unaffiliated voters overtook Democrats in voter registration in North Carolina, becoming the largest block of registered voters. Ten years ago, Unaffiliateds trailed both Republicans and Democrats in...